Ratings

  College Football

  College Basketball

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​

Articles

   What is the Bayesian Resume Rating?

   Predictive and Earned Rank Systems

   The Problem with RPI, Elo, and the Colley Matrix

   NFL Win/Loss Record History

   Strength of Schedule

   March Madness Bracket Scoring

   March Madness Seed History

   The Hot Hand "Fallacy"

   Mathematical Explanation of the Bayesian Resume Rating

   The Relationship Between Bayes' Theorem and P-Values

   A Typical March Madness Bracket
​

2023 NCAA Football Bayesian Resume Ratings

Updated September 24th
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1.	Texas	4-0	1.06
2.	Michigan	4-0	1.02
3.	Washington	4-0	1.00
4.	Oklahoma	4-0	0.98
5.	North Carolina	4-0	0.97
6.	Penn State	3-0	0.95
7.	Florida State	4-0	0.95
8.	Miami (FL)	3-0	0.94
9.	Washington State	3-0	0.93
10.	Ohio State	3-0	0.89
11.	Liberty	4-0	0.88
12.	Utah	3-0	0.87
13.	Missouri	3-0	0.87
14.	Kansas	3-0	0.85
15.	Southern California	4-0	0.84
16.	Oregon	3-0	0.82
17.	Duke	3-0	0.77
18.	Louisville	3-0	0.77
19.	Syracuse	3-0	0.74
20.	Georgia	3-0	0.72
21.	Maryland	3-0	0.71
22.	Georgia State	3-0	0.71
23.	James Madison	3-0	0.70
24.	Fresno State	3-0	0.69
25.	Kentucky	3-0	0.68
26.	Air Force	3-0	0.65
27.	Colorado	3-1	0.61
28.	Texas A&M	3-1	0.60
29.	Alabama	3-1	0.57
30.	Rutgers	3-1	0.56
31.	Notre Dame	3-1	0.54
32.	Wisconsin	3-1	0.53
33.	Marshall	2-0	0.51
34.	Iowa	3-1	0.46
35.	Kansas State	2-1	0.38
36.	Mississippi	2-1	0.35
37.	Florida	2-1	0.33
38.	Louisiana State	2-1	0.33
39.	UCLA	2-1	0.32
40.	Texas Christian	2-1	0.32
41.	Wyoming	2-1	0.30
42.	Ohio	3-1	0.30
43.	Memphis	2-1	0.30
44.	Miami (OH)	2-1	0.28
45.	Brigham Young	2-1	0.26
46.	Oregon State	2-1	0.25
47.	Auburn	2-1	0.25
48.	Nevada-Las Vegas	2-1	0.25
49.	West Virginia	2-1	0.23
50.	Central Florida	2-1	0.22
51.	Tulane	2-1	0.21
52.	Georgia Southern	2-1	0.19
53.	Wake Forest	2-1	0.19
54.	Tennessee	2-1	0.18
55.	North Carolina State	2-1	0.16
56.	Jacksonville State	2-1	0.13
57.	Arizona	2-1	0.13
58.	Toledo	2-1	0.13
59.	Illinois	2-2	0.10
60.	Louisiana	2-1	0.09
61.	Texas State	2-1	0.07
62.	Minnesota	2-2	0.06
63.	Northwestern	2-2	0.04
64.	Louisiana-Monroe	1-1	0.04
65.	Nebraska	2-2	-0.03
66.	Florida International	2-2	-0.11
67.	Houston	2-2	-0.12
68.	Tulsa	1-2	-0.13
69.	South Carolina	1-2	-0.14
70.	Michigan State	1-2	-0.14
71.	Georgia Tech	1-2	-0.15
72.	Coastal Carolina	1-2	-0.16
73.	Troy	1-2	-0.20
74.	California	1-2	-0.20
75.	Clemson	1-2	-0.21
76.	Boise State	1-2	-0.21
77.	Indiana	1-2	-0.21
78.	Colorado State	1-2	-0.22
79.	Southern Methodist	1-2	-0.22
80.	Rice	1-2	-0.22
81.	Temple	1-2	-0.23
82.	Appalachian State	1-2	-0.24
83.	Arkansas State	1-2	-0.24
84.	Cincinnati	1-2	-0.25
85.	Mississippi State	1-2	-0.25
86.	Stanford	1-2	-0.25
87.	Western Kentucky	1-2	-0.25
88.	Iowa State	1-2	-0.26
89.	Army	1-2	-0.26
90.	South Florida	1-2	-0.28
91.	Central Michigan	1-2	-0.28
92.	Old Dominion	1-2	-0.31
93.	Arkansas	1-2	-0.31
94.	South Alabama	1-2	-0.34
95.	Eastern Michigan	1-2	-0.35
96.	North Texas	1-2	-0.38
97.	New Mexico	1-2	-0.38
98.	Purdue	1-3	-0.39
99.	Northern Illinois	1-2	-0.39
100.	Oklahoma State	1-2	-0.44
101.	San Diego State	1-3	-0.44
102.	Vanderbilt	1-3	-0.47
103.	Virginia Tech	1-3	-0.49
104.	Texas-San Antonio	1-3	-0.52
105.	Navy	0-2	-0.56
106.	Hawaii	1-3	-0.58
107.	Louisiana Tech	1-3	-0.58
108.	New Mexico State	1-3	-0.62
109.	Bowling Green State	0-3	-0.67
110.	Baylor	0-3	-0.69
111.	Utah State	0-3	-0.70
112.	Charlotte	0-3	-0.71
113.	Nevada	0-3	-0.71
114.	Ball State	0-3	-0.72
115.	Buffalo	0-3	-0.73
116.	Texas Tech	0-3	-0.74
117.	Western Michigan	0-3	-0.75
118.	East Carolina	0-3	-0.76
119.	Boston College	0-3	-0.76
120.	Middle Tennessee State	0-3	-0.76
121.	Alabama-Birmingham	0-3	-0.78
122.	Arizona State	0-3	-0.78
123.	Massachusetts	1-4	-0.78
124.	Pittsburgh	0-3	-0.79
125.	Southern Mississippi	0-3	-0.79
126.	Sam Houston	0-3	-0.80
127.	Kent State	0-3	-0.82
128.	Akron	0-3	-0.85
129.	Florida Atlantic	0-3	-0.85
130.	San Jose State	0-4	-0.90
131.	Virginia	0-4	-0.91
132.	Connecticut	0-4	-0.93
133.	Texas-El Paso	0-4	-1.01

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