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   What is the Bayesian  Resume Rating?

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   NFL Win/Loss Record History

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   The Hot Hand "Fallacy"

   Mathematical Explanation of the Bayesian Resume Rating

2019 NCAA Basketball Bayesian Resume Ratings

Championship: Virginia defeated Texas Tech

Rank	Team	Record against D-I teams	BRR
1.	Virginia	35-3	2.86
2.	Duke	32-6	2.55
3.	Houston	33-4	2.35
4.	Kentucky	30-7	2.28
5.	Gonzaga	33-4	2.28
6.	Tennessee	30-6	2.28
7.	UNC	29-7	2.28
8.	Michigan State	32-7	2.26
9.	Texas Tech	31-7	2.24
10.	Michigan	30-7	2.15
11.	Florida State	29-8	2.04
12.	LSU	28-7	2.02
13.	Auburn	29-10	1.99
14.	Kansas	26-10	1.95
15.	Buffalo	31-4	1.87
16.	Purdue	26-10	1.84
17.	Cincinnati	28-7	1.80
18.	Wofford	27-5	1.79
19.	Virginia Tech	26-9	1.73
20.	Kansas State	25-9	1.73
21.	Villanova	26-10	1.58
22.	Wisconsin	23-11	1.57
23.	Nevada	29-5	1.55
24.	Maryland	23-11	1.55
25.	Mississippi State	23-11	1.53
26.	Washington	27-9	1.51
27.	UCF	24-9	1.48
28.	Marquette	24-10	1.47
29.	Iowa State	23-12	1.47
30.	Iowa	23-12	1.39
31.	Murray State	26-5	1.38
32.	Utah State	27-7	1.38
33.	North Carolina-Greensboro	27-7	1.36
34.	New Mexico State	28-5	1.34
35.	Oklahoma	20-14	1.32
36.	Louisville	20-14	1.32
37.	VCU	25-8	1.31
38.	Minnesota	22-14	1.30
39.	Temple	23-10	1.29
40.	Belmont	26-6	1.28
41.	Texas Christian	23-14	1.28
42.	Texas	21-16	1.25
43.	North Carolina State	24-12	1.22
44.	UC-Irvine	30-6	1.21
45.	Lipscomb	27-8	1.21
46.	Florida	20-16	1.16
47.	Syracuse	20-14	1.15
48.	Baylor	20-14	1.15
49.	Oregon	25-13	1.14
50.	Arizona State	23-11	1.13
51.	Ohio State	20-15	1.13
52.	Seton Hall	20-14	1.10
53.	Ole Miss	20-13	1.09
54.	Memphis	22-14	1.04
55.	Clemson	20-14	1.03
56.	Toledo	24-8	1.03
57.	Saint Mary's (CA)	22-12	1.02
58.	Liberty	26-7	1.02
59.	St. John's (NY)	21-13	1.02
60.	Indiana	19-16	0.99
61.	Vermont	26-7	0.98
62.	Furman	22-8	0.97
63.	Creighton	19-15	0.97
64.	Wichita State	22-15	0.97
65.	Nebraska	18-17	0.95
66.	Alabama	18-16	0.93
67.	Old Dominion	26-9	0.92
68.	Yale	21-8	0.90
69.	Davidson	23-10	0.89
70.	Xavier	19-16	0.88
71.	Hofstra	26-8	0.85
72.	Arkansas	18-16	0.82
73.	Georgetown	19-14	0.82
74.	Georgia State	23-10	0.82
75.	Fresno State	22-9	0.80
76.	Dayton	21-12	0.79
77.	Colorado	23-13	0.79
78.	South Florida	23-14	0.76
79.	Northeastern	23-11	0.76
80.	Providence	18-16	0.74
81.	South Carolina	15-16	0.73
82.	ETSU	22-10	0.73
83.	College of Charleston	23-9	0.71
84.	San Francisco	20-10	0.71
85.	Tulsa	18-14	0.70
86.	Penn State	14-18	0.70
87.	Saint Louis	23-13	0.69
88.	BYU	19-13	0.68
89.	Butler	16-17	0.68
90.	Oregon State	18-13	0.67
91.	Missouri	15-17	0.65
92.	Utah Valley	23-10	0.65
93.	West Virginia	15-21	0.64
94.	Drake	22-10	0.63
95.	Kent State	20-11	0.62
96.	UCLA	17-16	0.60
97.	Utah	17-14	0.60
98.	San Diego State	20-13	0.60
99.	Arizona	17-15	0.60
100.	Northern Kentucky	24-9	0.59
101.	Montana	24-9	0.59
102.	Oklahoma State	12-20	0.58
103.	San Diego	20-15	0.56
104.	Western Kentucky	20-14	0.55
105.	Texas A&M	14-18	0.55
106.	Bowling Green State	20-12	0.55
107.	DePaul	19-17	0.54
108.	Harvard	18-12	0.53
109.	Rutgers	14-17	0.52
110.	Marshall	23-14	0.52
111.	Abilene Christian	23-7	0.49
112.	Texas State	22-10	0.48
113.	Loyola Marymount	20-12	0.48
114.	Central Michigan	20-12	0.48
115.	Georgia Southern	19-12	0.48
116.	Jacksonville State	22-9	0.48
117.	UConn	16-17	0.47
118.	Penn	18-12	0.46
119.	Miami (FL)	14-18	0.45
120.	Colgate	23-11	0.42
121.	Stony Brook	23-9	0.40
122.	SMU	15-17	0.37
123.	Illinois	12-21	0.37
124.	South Dakota State	23-9	0.37
125.	Southern Miss	17-12	0.37
126.	Georgia Tech	14-18	0.37
127.	Bucknell	21-12	0.36
128.	Boston College	14-17	0.36
129.	Radford	19-11	0.36
130.	USC	16-17	0.35
131.	Rhode Island	18-15	0.34
132.	Notre Dame	14-19	0.34
133.	Austin Peay	20-11	0.34
134.	Stanford	15-16	0.34
135.	Northwestern	13-19	0.33
136.	Louisiana Tech	18-13	0.32
137.	Lehigh	20-11	0.30
138.	Loyola (IL)	19-14	0.29
139.	Duquesne	19-13	0.29
140.	Grand Canyon	19-14	0.27
141.	Pitt	14-19	0.26
142.	Brown	18-12	0.24
143.	North Texas	18-12	0.23
144.	St. Bonaventure	18-16	0.21
145.	Princeton	14-12	0.21
146.	Wright State	19-14	0.19
147.	George Mason	18-15	0.19
148.	Alabama-Birmingham	18-15	0.19
149.	Southern Illinois	17-15	0.18
150.	Nebraska-Omaha	20-11	0.17
151.	UCSB	20-10	0.16
152.	Bradley	19-15	0.16
153.	UNLV	17-14	0.16
154.	UTSA	14-14	0.14
155.	Gardner-Webb	20-12	0.13
156.	Akron	15-16	0.12
157.	Georgia	11-21	0.12
158.	Louisiana-Lafayette	17-13	0.11
159.	NJIT	21-13	0.10
160.	Florida International	16-14	0.09
161.	Ohio	13-17	0.08
162.	Green Bay	19-17	0.06
163.	Texas-Arlington	16-16	0.06
164.	Santa Clara	15-15	0.06
165.	Illinois State	16-16	0.06
166.	Wake Forest	11-20	0.03
167.	Northern Illinois	15-17	0.03
168.	Texas-Rio Grande Valley	18-17	0.02
169.	Northern Colorado	19-11	0.01
170.	Eastern Michigan	11-17	0.00
171.	Ball State	15-17	-0.01
172.	Miami (OH)	13-17	-0.03
173.	Sam Houston State	18-12	-0.03
174.	Louisiana-Monroe	18-16	-0.03
175.	Northern Iowa	14-18	-0.04
176.	St. Joseph's	14-19	-0.05
177.	Campbell	17-13	-0.05
178.	Indiana State	13-16	-0.07
179.	Missouri State	15-16	-0.07
180.	Winthrop	15-12	-0.08
181.	Pepperdine	15-18	-0.10
182.	Hawaii	16-13	-0.11
183.	Texas Southern	22-14	-0.12
184.	Samford	16-16	-0.12
185.	Florida Atlantic	14-16	-0.13
186.	UMBC	18-13	-0.13
187.	Prairie View	21-13	-0.16
188.	Seattle	16-15	-0.17
189.	Fairleigh Dickinson	19-14	-0.20
190.	New Mexico	13-18	-0.21
191.	Vanderbilt	9-23	-0.21
192.	Cornell	13-16	-0.21
193.	North Dakota State	17-16	-0.21
194.	Cal State Bakersfield	15-16	-0.22
195.	North Florida	14-17	-0.22
196.	Coastal Carolina	15-17	-0.23
197.	Hartford	17-15	-0.23
198.	Pacific	12-18	-0.24
199.	Holy Cross	16-17	-0.25
200.	Weber State	16-15	-0.26
201.	William & Mary	13-17	-0.27
202.	Delaware	15-16	-0.28
203.	UIC	14-16	-0.29
204.	Valparaiso	13-18	-0.29
205.	Oakland	15-17	-0.30
206.	Cal State Fullerton	14-18	-0.31
207.	Lamar	16-13	-0.32
208.	Norfolk State	19-14	-0.34
209.	Saint Francis (PA)	16-15	-0.35
210.	Iona	17-16	-0.36
211.	South Alabama	15-17	-0.36
212.	Presbyterian	17-16	-0.36
213.	Air Force	13-18	-0.38
214.	Long Beach State	13-19	-0.38
215.	IPFW	15-15	-0.38
216.	Siena	17-16	-0.39
217.	Rider	16-15	-0.39
218.	Washington State	11-21	-0.39
219.	New Orleans	15-14	-0.39
220.	High Point	14-15	-0.40
221.	California Baptist	12-15	-0.40
222.	Eastern Washington	15-18	-0.40
223.	Boise State	12-20	-0.43
224.	IUPUI	14-17	-0.43
225.	American	15-15	-0.44
226.	Florida Gulf Coast	12-18	-0.44
227.	Richmond	13-20	-0.45
228.	University of California	8-23	-0.46
229.	Charleston Southern	14-16	-0.46
230.	Hampton	15-17	-0.47
231.	Canisius	15-17	-0.47
232.	East Carolina	10-21	-0.47
233.	Southern Utah	15-17	-0.48
234.	North Carolina A&T	17-13	-0.49
235.	Rice	11-19	-0.49
236.	Drexel	12-19	-0.50
237.	Colorado State	11-20	-0.50
238.	Arkansas State	11-19	-0.51
239.	Portland State	13-16	-0.53
240.	Boston University	14-18	-0.53
241.	UMass	11-21	-0.54
242.	Quinnipiac	16-15	-0.54
243.	Troy	10-18	-0.54
244.	Southeastern Louisiana	15-16	-0.54
245.	Detroit	11-20	-0.57
246.	Navy	12-19	-0.57
247.	Montana State	14-17	-0.57
248.	Robert Morris	16-17	-0.57
249.	La Salle	10-21	-0.57
250.	Middle Tennessee	9-21	-0.58
251.	Eastern Kentucky	11-18	-0.58
252.	Evansville	9-21	-0.59
253.	James Madison	12-19	-0.60
254.	Morehead State	11-20	-0.62
255.	Citadel	9-18	-0.62
256.	St. Francis (NY)	15-16	-0.63
257.	LIU-Brooklyn	15-16	-0.67
258.	Army	12-19	-0.67
259.	Monmouth	14-21	-0.67
260.	Mercer	9-20	-0.69
261.	Sacred Heart	14-17	-0.69
262.	Columbia	8-18	-0.70
263.	Sacramento State	12-16	-0.70
264.	South Dakota	11-17	-0.70
265.	Eastern Illinois	13-18	-0.71
266.	UMKC	10-21	-0.72
267.	Fordham	11-20	-0.74
268.	UMass-Lowell	13-17	-0.74
269.	Appalachian State	8-21	-0.76
270.	George Washington	9-24	-0.77
271.	Charlotte	8-21	-0.78
272.	Cal State Northridge	12-21	-0.79
273.	Dartmouth	9-19	-0.79
274.	Stephen F. Austin	10-16	-0.80
275.	North Carolina-Wilmington	9-23	-0.81
276.	Chattanooga	9-20	-0.81
277.	Youngstown State	10-20	-0.82
278.	Longwood	13-18	-0.83
279.	Loyola (MD)	11-21	-0.83
280.	Wagner	11-17	-0.84
281.	UC-Davis	9-20	-0.87
282.	Central Arkansas	11-19	-0.87
283.	Texas A&M-Corpus Christi	10-18	-0.88
284.	Niagara	13-19	-0.90
285.	Lafayette	9-20	-0.90
286.	Arkansas-Little Rock	8-21	-0.90
287.	UT-Martin	10-19	-0.90
288.	North Carolina Central	15-16	-0.91
289.	Elon	9-21	-0.92
290.	Cleveland State	8-21	-0.93
291.	Grambling	14-17	-0.94
292.	Idaho State	9-19	-0.94
293.	Oral Roberts	9-21	-0.94
294.	Houston Baptist	10-18	-0.94
295.	Howard	14-17	-0.94
296.	Towson	9-22	-0.95
297.	Marist	12-19	-0.97
298.	Albany (NY)	11-20	-0.99
299.	Virginia Military Institute	8-21	-1.00
300.	Western Michigan	7-24	-1.01
301.	Northern Arizona	10-21	-1.02
302.	Nicholls State	10-17	-1.04
303.	Jacksonville	10-20	-1.05
304.	North Dakota	8-18	-1.07
305.	Bryant	10-20	-1.09
306.	Central Connecticut	9-20	-1.10
307.	Milwaukee	8-22	-1.10
308.	UTEP	6-21	-1.10
309.	Manhattan	11-21	-1.11
310.	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	12-19	-1.11
311.	Bethune-Cookman	12-17	-1.11
312.	North Alabama	7-22	-1.13
313.	Wyoming	7-24	-1.15
314.	Southeast Missouri State	8-21	-1.17
315.	St. Peter's	10-22	-1.18
316.	Tulane	4-27	-1.20
317.	Florida A&M	10-19	-1.20
318.	Southern Illinois-Edwardsville	8-21	-1.20
319.	UC-Riverside	7-23	-1.21
320.	Western Carolina	6-25	-1.21
321.	Tennessee State	7-21	-1.22
322.	Jackson State	11-19	-1.25
323.	Alabama State	10-19	-1.25
324.	Fairfield	9-22	-1.28
325.	Western Illinois	8-21	-1.29
326.	Binghamton	8-23	-1.29
327.	Mount St. Mary's	7-22	-1.29
328.	Denver	7-22	-1.30
329.	Northwestern State	8-20	-1.33
330.	Portland	5-25	-1.38
331.	Tennessee Tech	6-23	-1.41
332.	Savannah State	10-20	-1.43
333.	McNeese State	6-21	-1.48
334.	Kennesaw State	4-26	-1.59
335.	Morgan State	8-20	-1.65
336.	Coppin State	8-25	-1.68
337.	Stetson	5-24	-1.68
338.	Cal Poly	4-23	-1.70
339.	San Jose State	3-27	-1.71
340.	Alcorn State	6-21	-1.78
341.	Southern	6-25	-1.85
342.	Maine	4-27	-1.86
343.	Idaho	3-26	-1.90
344.	South Carolina State	6-26	-1.98
345.	Mississippi Valley State	5-26	-1.99
346.	Maryland-Eastern Shore	5-25	-2.03
347.	New Hampshire	3-24	-2.05
348.	Alabama A&M	5-27	-2.08
349.	Incarnate Word	2-25	-2.08
350.	Chicago State	1-29	-2.10
351.	South Carolina Upstate	3-26	-2.11

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