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   What is the Bayesian Resume Rating?

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   NFL Win/Loss Record History

   Strength of Schedule

   March Madness Bracket Scoring

   March Madness Seed History

   The Hot Hand "Fallacy"

   Mathematical Explanation of the Bayesian Resume Rating

   The Relationship Between Bayes' Theorem and P-Values

   A Typical March Madness Bracket

2020 NCAA Basketball Bayesian Resume Ratings

Updated February 24th. The next update will be March 2nd.

Rank	Team	Record against D-I teams	BRR
1.	Kansas	23-3	2.58
2.	Baylor	24-2	2.48
3.	Dayton	25-2	2.37
4.	San Diego State	25-1	2.33
5.	Gonzaga	27-2	2.22
6.	Duke	23-4	2.02
7.	Florida State	23-4	1.98
8.	Villanova	21-6	1.92
9.	Maryland	22-5	1.90
10.	Auburn	23-4	1.89
11.	Creighton	21-6	1.87
12.	Louisville	23-5	1.84
13.	Oregon	21-7	1.68
14.	Colorado	21-7	1.68
15.	Kentucky	22-5	1.66
16.	Seton Hall	20-7	1.66
17.	BYU	22-7	1.60
18.	West Virginia	19-8	1.52
19.	Saint Mary's (CA)	22-6	1.50
20.	Arizona	19-8	1.48
21.	Arizona State	19-8	1.47
22.	Penn State	20-7	1.46
23.	Butler	19-9	1.44
24.	ETSU	22-4	1.42
25.	Iowa	19-8	1.39
26.	Virginia	19-7	1.37
27.	Houston	21-7	1.37
28.	LSU	19-8	1.37
29.	Marquette	17-9	1.34
30.	Michigan	18-9	1.34
31.	Ohio State	18-9	1.33
32.	Rhode Island	19-7	1.31
33.	Northern Iowa	21-5	1.30
34.	Wichita State	20-7	1.29
35.	Indiana	18-9	1.28
36.	Michigan State	18-9	1.28
37.	Richmond	20-7	1.26
38.	USC	19-9	1.23
39.	Utah State	20-7	1.23
40.	Xavier	17-10	1.22
41.	Liberty	24-3	1.22
42.	Texas Tech	18-9	1.19
43.	Wisconsin	17-10	1.16
44.	Florida	17-10	1.15
45.	Cincinnati	18-9	1.14
46.	Stanford	18-9	1.13
47.	Illinois	16-9	1.13
48.	North Carolina-Greensboro	21-6	1.12
49.	Rutgers	17-10	1.11
50.	Memphis	19-8	1.10
51.	Saint Louis	18-8	1.09
52.	Oklahoma	16-11	1.09
53.	Stephen F. Austin	21-3	1.07
54.	North Carolina State	17-10	1.04
55.	Akron	19-6	1.04
56.	Arkansas	17-10	1.03
57.	Furman	20-6	1.02
58.	Texas	16-11	0.99
59.	Mississippi State	17-10	0.99
60.	Georgetown	15-12	0.96
61.	Providence	16-12	0.94
62.	VCU	17-10	0.93
63.	Notre Dame	17-10	0.91
64.	UCLA	16-11	0.89
65.	Yale	18-6	0.87
66.	SMU	18-8	0.86
67.	Alabama	15-12	0.86
68.	Utah	15-12	0.85
69.	Nevada	18-10	0.84
70.	Duquesne	18-8	0.83
71.	South Carolina	16-11	0.82
72.	Tulsa	18-9	0.82
73.	Boise State	18-10	0.81
74.	Syracuse	15-12	0.81
75.	Oklahoma State	14-13	0.80
76.	Vermont	21-7	0.80
77.	Colorado State	18-10	0.79
78.	Bowling Green State	18-7	0.79
79.	San Francisco	17-11	0.79
80.	Tennessee	15-12	0.79
81.	Clemson	14-12	0.77
82.	Harvard	17-7	0.76
83.	New Mexico State	20-6	0.75
84.	Minnesota	13-13	0.75
85.	Texas Christian	14-12	0.75
86.	Pacific	19-9	0.73
87.	St. Bonaventure	17-9	0.73
88.	Miami (FL)	14-13	0.72
89.	Purdue	14-14	0.71
90.	Hofstra	21-7	0.70
91.	Oregon State	15-12	0.69
92.	St. John's (NY)	14-13	0.69
93.	DePaul	13-13	0.66
94.	Louisiana Tech	18-7	0.66
95.	UConn	15-12	0.65
96.	Pitt	15-13	0.65
97.	Colgate	21-7	0.64
98.	Wright State	22-6	0.63
99.	Georgia	13-13	0.63
100.	Virginia Tech	15-12	0.63
101.	Buffalo	17-9	0.60
102.	Western Kentucky	17-9	0.58
103.	Georgia Tech	12-14	0.56
104.	North Texas	16-10	0.56
105.	Texas A&M	14-12	0.55
106.	Temple	14-13	0.54
107.	Washington	13-15	0.53
108.	Eastern Washington	17-8	0.53
109.	Arkansas-Little Rock	18-9	0.52
110.	Bradley	18-10	0.51
111.	Loyola (IL)	18-10	0.51
112.	Missouri	13-14	0.51
113.	Indiana State	15-11	0.49
114.	Delaware	19-9	0.48
115.	Belmont	21-7	0.47
116.	UNLV	15-14	0.46
117.	Iowa State	11-16	0.44
118.	South Dakota State	20-8	0.44
119.	Northern Colorado	17-8	0.44
120.	William & Mary	19-10	0.44
121.	UCF	14-12	0.44
122.	Ole Miss	13-14	0.44
123.	Santa Clara	16-11	0.42
124.	Boston College	13-15	0.41
125.	New Mexico	16-12	0.40
126.	Davidson	14-12	0.39
127.	Montana	16-9	0.39
128.	Kent State	15-10	0.38
129.	Texas State	17-10	0.37
130.	Northern Kentucky	19-8	0.37
131.	George Mason	15-12	0.37
132.	Washington State	14-14	0.34
133.	North Dakota State	18-8	0.34
134.	Saint Francis (PA)	18-8	0.33
135.	University of California	11-16	0.32
136.	Radford	17-9	0.31
137.	UC-Irvine	17-10	0.31
138.	Drake	16-11	0.30
139.	Stony Brook	17-10	0.30
140.	Western Carolina	15-10	0.28
141.	Wake Forest	11-15	0.28
142.	UNC	10-17	0.28
143.	Pepperdine	15-14	0.26
144.	Georgia State	16-11	0.25
145.	La Salle	13-13	0.24
146.	Penn	12-10	0.23
147.	Towson	15-12	0.21
148.	North Florida	17-11	0.20
149.	South Alabama	15-11	0.19
150.	Southern Illinois	15-13	0.17
151.	UMass	12-15	0.16
152.	Northern Illinois	15-11	0.16
153.	Murray State	18-8	0.15
154.	Valparaiso	14-14	0.13
155.	Austin Peay	17-10	0.13
156.	Winthrop	17-10	0.12
157.	Georgia Southern	15-12	0.11
158.	Chattanooga	15-12	0.10
159.	UCSB	16-9	0.10
160.	Appalachian State	14-13	0.09
161.	Missouri State	14-15	0.09
162.	College of Charleston	14-13	0.08
163.	Siena	15-10	0.08
164.	Ball State	14-12	0.08
165.	Florida International	14-10	0.07
166.	Charlotte	15-11	0.06
167.	Kansas State	9-18	0.06
168.	California Baptist	15-8	0.05
169.	South Florida	11-16	0.05
170.	South Dakota	16-11	0.04
171.	Eastern Michigan	11-12	0.04
172.	Hawaii	14-11	0.03
173.	Lafayette	16-10	0.02
174.	Brown	12-10	0.02
175.	Tulane	12-15	0.02
176.	Princeton	11-11	0.01
177.	Boston University	16-12	0.00
178.	Monmouth	16-11	-0.01
179.	Wofford	14-13	-0.02
180.	Merrimack	18-11	-0.04
181.	George Washington	12-15	-0.06
182.	Northern Arizona	13-11	-0.07
183.	Alabama-Birmingham	14-12	-0.07
184.	Nicholls State	14-10	-0.08
185.	Marshall	13-14	-0.08
186.	Nebraska-Omaha	14-14	-0.10
187.	Arkansas State	13-14	-0.13
188.	St. Peter's	15-11	-0.13
189.	Texas-Arlington	11-16	-0.13
190.	Northeastern	14-14	-0.14
191.	Vanderbilt	9-18	-0.14
192.	Rider	15-12	-0.15
193.	Toledo	12-14	-0.15
194.	Ohio	11-14	-0.16
195.	Central Michigan	10-13	-0.16
196.	American	14-13	-0.20
197.	Southern Utah	12-13	-0.21
198.	Mercer	13-14	-0.21
199.	UTEP	11-14	-0.22
200.	Sacred Heart	16-12	-0.22
201.	Coastal Carolina	12-15	-0.22
202.	Sacramento State	12-12	-0.22
203.	Montana State	12-13	-0.23
204.	Prairie View	13-11	-0.23
205.	Florida Atlantic	12-13	-0.24
206.	Sam Houston State	14-10	-0.26
207.	Portland State	12-14	-0.27
208.	Youngstown State	14-13	-0.27
209.	Texas Southern	12-13	-0.28
210.	East Carolina	11-17	-0.29
211.	Drexel	12-16	-0.30
212.	Oral Roberts	10-13	-0.30
213.	Nebraska	7-19	-0.30
214.	Abilene Christian	13-10	-0.31
215.	Rice	11-15	-0.34
216.	Loyola Marymount	9-18	-0.36
217.	Old Dominion	11-17	-0.37
218.	UIC	13-15	-0.38
219.	Tennessee State	14-13	-0.39
220.	Green Bay	12-15	-0.39
221.	Army	13-13	-0.40
222.	Loyola (MD)	14-14	-0.41
223.	Robert Morris	15-14	-0.41
224.	UMKC	11-14	-0.44
225.	Fresno State	9-18	-0.44
226.	Northwestern	6-20	-0.44
227.	UTSA	9-15	-0.44
228.	Illinois State	8-19	-0.45
229.	Hartford	13-14	-0.46
230.	Navy	12-14	-0.48
231.	UMBC	10-14	-0.48
232.	Seattle	12-14	-0.48
233.	Quinnipiac	12-14	-0.49
234.	Grand Canyon	12-14	-0.49
235.	Albany (NY)	13-14	-0.50
236.	Western Michigan	9-16	-0.50
237.	Miami (OH)	8-16	-0.50
238.	North Carolina A&T	13-14	-0.51
239.	New Hampshire	11-13	-0.51
240.	Iona	10-13	-0.52
241.	Oakland	11-17	-0.53
242.	Air Force	9-18	-0.54
243.	Stetson	13-14	-0.55
244.	San Diego	8-20	-0.56
245.	Lamar	12-13	-0.56
246.	North Dakota	10-15	-0.56
247.	UC-Riverside	12-14	-0.58
248.	UC-Davis	11-16	-0.58
249.	Weber State	8-16	-0.58
250.	Louisiana-Lafayette	10-17	-0.59
251.	Long Beach State	8-18	-0.60
252.	Manhattan	11-14	-0.60
253.	Bryant	13-15	-0.60
254.	Fairfield	11-16	-0.60
255.	Dartmouth	9-15	-0.60
256.	Bucknell	11-18	-0.61
257.	LIU-Brooklyn	12-16	-0.62
258.	Eastern Kentucky	12-15	-0.64
259.	Cal State Northridge	9-17	-0.65
260.	St. Joseph's	5-22	-0.65
261.	Florida A&M	11-14	-0.67
262.	Canisius	10-17	-0.68
263.	Milwaukee	10-16	-0.69
264.	North Carolina Central	10-13	-0.72
265.	Evansville	8-20	-0.72
266.	Lipscomb	11-15	-0.72
267.	Norfolk State	10-13	-0.72
268.	North Carolina-Asheville	11-14	-0.74
269.	Eastern Illinois	12-14	-0.74
270.	Jacksonville	11-16	-0.75
271.	Charleston Southern	11-15	-0.75
272.	San Jose State	6-21	-0.76
273.	Hampton	10-15	-0.76
274.	Gardner-Webb	10-15	-0.76
275.	Niagara	9-18	-0.78
276.	Campbell	12-15	-0.79
277.	Bethune-Cookman	11-13	-0.80
278.	St. Francis (NY)	11-16	-0.81
279.	Morgan State	11-14	-0.81
280.	Texas-Rio Grande Valley	8-15	-0.81
281.	Southern Miss	6-19	-0.82
282.	UMass-Lowell	10-17	-0.82
283.	Cleveland State	9-19	-0.82
284.	James Madison	8-18	-0.83
285.	Cal State Fullerton	8-17	-0.83
286.	Grambling	10-13	-0.83
287.	Central Arkansas	9-18	-0.84
288.	Louisiana-Monroe	7-18	-0.84
289.	Portland	7-20	-0.86
290.	Elon	8-19	-0.87
291.	Fordham	7-19	-0.88
292.	Northwestern State	9-13	-0.88
293.	IPFW	9-17	-0.88
294.	Cal State Bakersfield	8-17	-0.94
295.	North Alabama	9-16	-0.96
296.	Longwood	11-17	-0.96
297.	Wyoming	6-21	-0.96
298.	Morehead State	11-16	-0.97
299.	North Carolina-Wilmington	6-20	-0.97
300.	Troy	7-20	-0.98
301.	Southern	10-15	-0.98
302.	Mount St. Mary's	10-18	-0.98
303.	Utah Valley	8-17	-0.99
304.	South Carolina State	9-14	-1.00
305.	South Carolina Upstate	9-18	-1.00
306.	Fairleigh Dickinson	8-18	-1.06
307.	Jacksonville State	10-17	-1.06
308.	Binghamton	7-18	-1.07
309.	McNeese State	8-15	-1.07
310.	Texas A&M-Corpus Christi	8-17	-1.10
311.	Alcorn State	8-13	-1.11
312.	Detroit	7-22	-1.11
313.	Lehigh	6-20	-1.14
314.	Jackson State	8-17	-1.15
315.	Samford	6-21	-1.19
316.	High Point	7-20	-1.21
317.	NJIT	7-19	-1.21
318.	Cal Poly	5-20	-1.21
319.	Florida Gulf Coast	7-20	-1.22
320.	Wagner	7-19	-1.23
321.	Idaho State	4-19	-1.24
322.	Alabama State	8-18	-1.25
323.	Idaho	5-20	-1.25
324.	Marist	7-18	-1.26
325.	Maine	6-20	-1.27
326.	Middle Tennessee	4-21	-1.29
327.	Coppin State	9-20	-1.29
328.	Cornell	4-17	-1.30
329.	Tennessee Tech	7-20	-1.31
330.	Presbyterian	7-20	-1.34
331.	UT-Martin	6-19	-1.35
332.	Virginia Military Institute	5-21	-1.36
333.	Columbia	5-20	-1.40
334.	Denver	5-22	-1.43
335.	Alabama A&M	7-17	-1.48
336.	Incarnate Word	6-18	-1.53
337.	IUPUI	4-23	-1.59
338.	Western Illinois	3-19	-1.59
339.	New Orleans	4-18	-1.61
340.	Southern Illinois-Edwardsville	5-22	-1.70
341.	Citadel	3-21	-1.72
342.	Southeast Missouri State	5-22	-1.76
343.	Holy Cross	3-25	-1.76
344.	Maryland-Eastern Shore	4-22	-1.79
345.	Houston Baptist	3-22	-1.89
346.	Southeastern Louisiana	3-21	-1.90
347.	Central Connecticut	3-25	-1.96
348.	Delaware State	2-22	-2.17
349.	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	2-23	-2.23
350.	Mississippi Valley State	2-24	-2.30
351.	Kennesaw State	1-26	-2.32
352.	Chicago State	1-24	-2.35
353.	Howard	1-24	-2.39

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