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   What is the Bayesian  Resume Rating?

   Predictive and Earned Rank Systems

   The Problem with RPI, Elo, and the Colley Matrix

   NFL Win/Loss Record History

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   The Hot Hand "Fallacy"

   Mathematical Explanation of the Bayesian Resume Rating

2019 NCAA Football Bayesian Resume Ratings

Championship: Louisiana State defeated Clemson

(NCAA basketball rankings can be found here)

Rank Team Record against FBS opponents BRR
1. Louisiana State 14-0 2.47
2. Ohio State 13-1 2.05
3. Clemson 13-1 1.92
4. Georgia 11-2 1.62
5. Penn State 10-2 1.55
6. Florida 9-2 1.44
7. Memphis 11-2 1.43
8. Notre Dame 11-2 1.43
9. Oklahoma 11-2 1.42
10. Oregon 11-2 1.38
11. Appalachian State 12-1 1.37
12. Alabama 10-2 1.34
13. Navy 10-2 1.28
14. Minnesota 10-2 1.25
15. Cincinnati 11-3 1.19
16. Boise State 11-2 1.15
17. Auburn 8-4 1.13
18. Wisconsin 10-4 1.11
19. Iowa 10-3 1.11
20. Air Force 10-2 1.09
21. Baylor 10-3 1.08
22. Michigan 9-4 1.05
23. Utah 10-3 1.01
24. Florida Atlantic 10-3 0.94
25. Southern Methodist 10-3 0.93
26. Louisiana 10-3 0.84
27. Central Florida 9-3 0.76
28. Southern California 8-5 0.63
29. Texas 8-5 0.61
30. Western Kentucky 9-3 0.60
31. Texas A&M 7-5 0.59
32. Virginia 8-5 0.55
33. San Diego State 9-3 0.51
34. Washington 7-5 0.48
35. Tennessee 7-5 0.48
36. Louisville 7-5 0.47
37. Hawaii 9-5 0.42
38. Kansas State 7-5 0.39
39. Arizona State 7-5 0.39
40. Louisiana Tech 9-3 0.37
41. Oklahoma State 7-5 0.35
42. California 7-5 0.32
43. Temple 7-5 0.32
44. Kentucky 7-5 0.31
45. Michigan State 7-6 0.31
46. Marshall 7-5 0.31
47. Pittsburgh 7-5 0.30
48. Indiana 7-5 0.27
49. Wake Forest 7-5 0.27
50. Iowa State 6-6 0.23
51. North Carolina 6-6 0.17
52. Virginia Tech 6-5 0.16
53. Brigham Young 6-6 0.15
54. Tulane 6-6 0.13
55. Miami (OH) 7-6 0.12
56. Wyoming 7-5 0.12
57. Utah State 6-6 0.12
58. Mississippi State 5-7 0.10
59. Buffalo 7-5 0.07
60. Arkansas State 7-5 0.07
61. Alabama-Birmingham 8-5 0.03
62. Georgia Southern 6-6 0.02
63. Florida State 5-7 -0.02
64. Kent State 6-6 -0.11
65. Colorado 5-7 -0.11
66. Miami (FL) 5-7 -0.13
67. Boston College 5-7 -0.14
68. Southern Mississippi 6-6 -0.14
69. South Carolina 3-8 -0.16
70. Washington State 5-7 -0.18
71. Illinois 6-7 -0.19
72. Charlotte 6-6 -0.19
73. Missouri 5-6 -0.19
74. Central Michigan 7-6 -0.20
75. Ohio 6-6 -0.20
76. Georgia State 6-6 -0.22
77. Oregon State 4-7 -0.22
78. Western Michigan 6-6 -0.22
79. Nebraska 5-7 -0.24
80. Nevada 6-6 -0.25
81. Texas Christian 4-7 -0.27
82. Tulsa 4-8 -0.27
83. Liberty 6-5 -0.28
84. UCLA 4-8 -0.28
85. Duke 4-7 -0.29
86. Stanford 4-8 -0.36
87. West Virginia 4-7 -0.36
88. Toledo 5-6 -0.40
89. Louisiana-Monroe 4-7 -0.42
90. Syracuse 4-7 -0.42
91. Purdue 4-8 -0.48
92. South Florida 3-8 -0.51
93. Houston 3-8 -0.52
94. Eastern Michigan 5-7 -0.53
95. Ball State 4-7 -0.54
96. Florida International 5-7 -0.54
97. Georgia Tech 3-8 -0.55
98. Arizona 3-8 -0.56
99. Mississippi 3-8 -0.65
100. San Jose State 4-7 -0.65
101. Troy 4-7 -0.68
102. Coastal Carolina 4-7 -0.70
103. Northern Illinois 4-7 -0.70
104. Texas Tech 3-8 -0.75
105. Fresno State 3-8 -0.77
106. Northwestern 3-9 -0.78
107. North Carolina State 3-8 -0.78
108. Middle Tennessee State 3-8 -0.82
109. Army 3-8 -0.82
110. Maryland 2-9 -0.84
111. Nevada-Las Vegas 3-8 -0.87
112. Colorado State 3-8 -0.91
113. Kansas 2-9 -0.94
114. Vanderbilt 2-9 -0.95
115. Rutgers 2-10 -0.99
116. Texas State 2-9 -1.04
117. North Texas 3-8 -1.05
118. Rice 3-9 -1.08
119. Texas-San Antonio 3-8 -1.08
120. East Carolina 2-8 -1.11
121. Bowling Green State 2-9 -1.12
122. Arkansas 1-10 -1.27
123. South Alabama 1-10 -1.33
124. New Mexico 1-10 -1.48
125. Connecticut 1-10 -1.52
126. New Mexico State 1-10 -1.75
127. Massachusetts 1-10 -1.91
128. Old Dominion 0-11 -1.93
129. Akron 0-12 -2.18
130. Texas-El Paso 0-11 -2.21
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