Ratings

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Articles

   What is the Bayesian Resume Rating?

   Predictive and Earned Rank Systems

   The Problem with RPI, Elo, and the Colley Matrix

   NFL Win/Loss Record History

   Strength of Schedule

   March Madness Bracket Scoring

   March Madness Seed History

   The Hot Hand "Fallacy"

   Mathematical Explanation of the Bayesian Resume Rating

   The Relationship Between Bayes' Theorem and P-Values

   A Typical March Madness Bracket
​

2023 NCAA Football Bayesian Resume Ratings

Updated December 3rd
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1.	Washington	13-0	2.16
2.	Michigan	13-0	2.12
3.	Florida State	12-0	1.95
4.	Alabama	11-1	1.86
5.	Texas	12-1	1.81
6.	Georgia	11-1	1.71
7.	Liberty	13-0	1.69
8.	Ohio State	10-1	1.68
9.	Oregon	10-2	1.44
10.	Penn State	9-2	1.35
11.	Mississippi	9-2	1.34
12.	James Madison	10-1	1.33
13.	Oklahoma	10-2	1.29
14.	Missouri	9-2	1.25
15.	Louisiana State	8-3	1.11
16.	Troy	10-2	1.10
17.	Iowa	10-3	1.05
18.	Tulane	10-2	1.04
19.	Toledo	10-2	0.99
20.	Miami (OH)	10-2	0.95
21.	Louisville	9-3	0.94
22.	Southern Methodist	10-2	0.92
23.	Notre Dame	8-3	0.88
24.	North Carolina State	8-3	0.83
25.	Arizona	8-3	0.79
26.	Kansas State	7-4	0.71
27.	Oklahoma State	8-4	0.69
28.	Memphis	8-3	0.68
29.	Utah	7-4	0.67
30.	Oregon State	7-4	0.66
31.	Clemson	7-4	0.63
32.	Kansas	7-4	0.60
33.	Tennessee	7-4	0.59
34.	Southern California	7-5	0.50
35.	North Carolina	7-4	0.45
36.	Wyoming	7-4	0.44
37.	Nevada-Las Vegas	8-4	0.43
38.	Iowa State	6-5	0.42
39.	Miami (FL)	6-5	0.41
40.	West Virginia	7-4	0.38
41.	New Mexico State	9-4	0.37
42.	Boise State	7-5	0.35
43.	Ohio	8-3	0.34
44.	Duke	6-5	0.31
45.	Kentucky	6-5	0.28
46.	Texas A&M	6-5	0.28
47.	Appalachian State	7-5	0.24
48.	Wisconsin	7-5	0.23
49.	Maryland	6-5	0.23
50.	Northwestern	6-5	0.22
51.	Air Force	7-4	0.21
52.	San Jose State	6-5	0.21
53.	Texas-San Antonio	8-4	0.19
54.	Bowling Green State	6-5	0.17
55.	Jacksonville State	7-4	0.16
56.	UCLA	6-5	0.15
57.	Coastal Carolina	6-5	0.15
58.	Fresno State	7-4	0.14
59.	Rutgers	5-6	0.10
60.	Georgia Tech	5-6	0.10
61.	Western Kentucky	6-5	0.06
62.	Auburn	5-6	0.06
63.	California	5-6	0.05
64.	Texas Tech	5-6	0.04
65.	Virginia Tech	6-6	0.00
66.	Minnesota	5-7	-0.09
67.	Georgia State	5-6	-0.12
68.	Old Dominion	5-6	-0.12
69.	Texas State	6-5	-0.13
70.	Marshall	5-6	-0.13
71.	Illinois	5-7	-0.14
72.	South Alabama	5-6	-0.15
73.	Central Florida	5-6	-0.16
74.	Syracuse	5-6	-0.19
75.	Boston College	5-6	-0.20
76.	South Carolina	4-7	-0.22
77.	Florida	4-7	-0.22
78.	Arkansas State	5-6	-0.23
79.	Utah State	5-6	-0.24
80.	Texas Christian	4-7	-0.25
81.	Nebraska	5-7	-0.25
82.	Georgia Southern	5-6	-0.26
83.	Washington State	4-7	-0.26
84.	Mississippi State	4-7	-0.27
85.	Northern Illinois	6-5	-0.29
86.	Brigham Young	4-7	-0.35
87.	Purdue	4-8	-0.36
88.	Rice	5-6	-0.39
89.	Louisiana	5-6	-0.41
90.	Michigan State	3-8	-0.42
91.	South Florida	5-6	-0.44
92.	Stanford	3-8	-0.46
93.	Colorado	4-8	-0.47
94.	Army	3-6	-0.51
95.	Houston	4-8	-0.59
96.	Navy	4-6	-0.59
97.	Colorado State	4-7	-0.62
98.	Eastern Michigan	5-6	-0.63
99.	Wake Forest	3-8	-0.64
100.	Hawaii	4-8	-0.67
101.	Central Michigan	4-7	-0.68
102.	North Texas	4-7	-0.69
103.	Arkansas	3-8	-0.70
104.	Virginia	2-9	-0.71
105.	Western Michigan	3-8	-0.73
106.	Arizona State	2-9	-0.73
107.	San Diego State	3-8	-0.75
108.	New Mexico	3-8	-0.78
109.	Ball State	3-8	-0.83
110.	Pittsburgh	2-9	-0.87
111.	Alabama-Birmingham	3-8	-0.87
112.	Middle Tennessee State	3-8	-0.88
113.	Buffalo	3-8	-0.90
114.	Indiana	2-9	-0.91
115.	Tulsa	3-8	-0.94
116.	Massachusetts	2-9	-0.98
117.	Baylor	2-9	-0.98
118.	Florida Atlantic	3-8	-1.00
119.	Cincinnati	2-9	-1.02
120.	Southern Mississippi	2-9	-1.04
121.	Florida International	3-8	-1.12
122.	Connecticut	2-9	-1.13
123.	Nevada	2-9	-1.14
124.	Texas-El Paso	2-9	-1.21
125.	Vanderbilt	1-10	-1.25
126.	Louisiana Tech	2-9	-1.29
127.	Temple	2-9	-1.29
128.	Charlotte	2-9	-1.31
129.	Sam Houston	2-9	-1.32
130.	Louisiana-Monroe	1-10	-1.43
131.	East Carolina	1-10	-1.52
132.	Akron	1-10	-1.79
133.	Kent State	0-11	-2.08

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