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   Mathematical Explanation of the Bayesian Resume Rating

2019 NCAA Basketball Bayesian Resume Ratings

Published March 17th. The next update will be March 25th.

Rank	Team	Record against D-I teams	BRR
1.	Virginia	29-3	2.62
2.	Duke	29-5	2.52
3.	Houston	31-3	2.38
4.	Tennessee	28-5	2.30
5.	UNC	27-6	2.29
6.	Gonzaga	30-3	2.26
7.	Kentucky	27-6	2.23
8.	Michigan	28-6	2.11
9.	Michigan State	28-6	2.11
10.	Florida State	27-7	1.99
11.	LSU	26-6	1.99
12.	Texas Tech	26-6	1.96
13.	Kansas	25-9	1.93
14.	Buffalo	30-3	1.93
15.	Cincinnati	28-6	1.87
16.	Wofford	26-4	1.84
17.	Auburn	25-9	1.77
18.	Kansas State	25-8	1.75
19.	Nevada	29-4	1.68
20.	Virginia Tech	24-8	1.67
21.	Purdue	23-9	1.66
22.	Villanova	25-9	1.62
23.	Mississippi State	23-10	1.61
24.	Wisconsin	23-10	1.60
25.	Marquette	24-9	1.56
26.	Maryland	22-10	1.50
27.	Utah State	27-6	1.48
28.	Iowa State	23-11	1.48
29.	North Carolina-Greensboro	26-6	1.47
30.	UCF	23-8	1.46
31.	Washington	26-8	1.46
32.	New Mexico State	28-4	1.45
33.	VCU	25-7	1.38
34.	Louisville	20-13	1.36
35.	Temple	23-9	1.34
36.	Murray State	25-4	1.34
37.	Iowa	22-11	1.31
38.	Oklahoma	19-13	1.24
39.	Minnesota	21-13	1.23
40.	UC-Irvine	29-5	1.23
41.	Belmont	25-5	1.23
42.	Syracuse	20-13	1.20
43.	Texas Christian	20-13	1.17
44.	North Carolina State	22-11	1.17
45.	Seton Hall	20-13	1.16
46.	Toledo	24-7	1.13
47.	Ole Miss	20-12	1.13
48.	Arizona State	22-10	1.10
49.	Furman	22-7	1.10
50.	St. John's (NY)	21-12	1.09
51.	Saint Mary's (CA)	22-11	1.09
52.	Florida	19-15	1.09
53.	Baylor	19-13	1.06
54.	Memphis	21-13	1.04
55.	Ohio State	19-14	1.04
56.	Clemson	19-13	1.04
57.	Vermont	26-6	1.04
58.	Alabama	18-15	1.00
59.	Oregon	23-12	1.00
60.	Texas	16-16	0.99
61.	Old Dominion	26-8	0.98
62.	Lipscomb	23-7	0.97
63.	Davidson	23-9	0.96
64.	Yale	21-7	0.95
65.	Liberty	25-6	0.95
66.	Creighton	17-14	0.94
67.	Indiana	17-15	0.93
68.	Hofstra	26-7	0.92
69.	Nebraska	17-16	0.90
70.	Georgetown	19-13	0.90
71.	Xavier	18-15	0.89
72.	Dayton	21-11	0.87
73.	ETSU	22-9	0.86
74.	Georgia State	23-9	0.85
75.	Wichita State	19-14	0.85
76.	Fresno State	22-9	0.83
77.	Northeastern	23-10	0.81
78.	Providence	18-15	0.80
79.	Arkansas	17-15	0.80
80.	Drake	22-9	0.76
81.	Saint Louis	23-12	0.74
82.	Butler	16-16	0.74
83.	Utah Valley	22-9	0.74
84.	Colorado	21-12	0.74
85.	Kent State	20-10	0.73
86.	College of Charleston	23-9	0.73
87.	San Francisco	20-10	0.73
88.	South Carolina	15-16	0.71
89.	BYU	19-13	0.71
90.	Tulsa	18-14	0.69
91.	Penn State	14-18	0.66
92.	Oregon State	18-13	0.65
93.	Missouri	15-17	0.64
94.	San Diego State	20-13	0.63
95.	West Virginia	14-20	0.62
96.	San Diego	20-14	0.62
97.	Montana	24-8	0.61
98.	Northern Kentucky	24-8	0.60
99.	Utah	17-14	0.58
100.	Western Kentucky	20-14	0.57
101.	Arizona	17-15	0.57
102.	Bowling Green State	20-12	0.57
103.	UCLA	17-16	0.57
104.	Texas State	22-9	0.57
105.	Central Michigan	20-11	0.57
106.	South Florida	18-13	0.54
107.	Texas A&M	14-18	0.54
108.	Abilene Christian	23-6	0.53
109.	Harvard	17-11	0.53
110.	Oklahoma State	12-20	0.52
111.	Georgia Southern	19-12	0.49
112.	Penn	18-12	0.49
113.	Southern Miss	17-11	0.49
114.	DePaul	15-15	0.48
115.	Rutgers	14-17	0.48
116.	Stony Brook	23-8	0.48
117.	Loyola Marymount	18-11	0.46
118.	Jacksonville State	22-9	0.46
119.	Miami (FL)	14-18	0.44
120.	UConn	16-17	0.44
121.	Colgate	23-10	0.44
122.	South Dakota State	23-8	0.42
123.	Marshall	19-14	0.41
124.	Bucknell	21-12	0.37
125.	Rhode Island	18-15	0.37
126.	Grand Canyon	19-13	0.36
127.	Georgia Tech	14-18	0.36
128.	Loyola (IL)	19-13	0.36
129.	Boston College	14-17	0.35
130.	SMU	15-17	0.35
131.	Louisiana Tech	18-13	0.34
132.	Illinois	12-21	0.34
133.	Austin Peay	20-11	0.32
134.	Stanford	15-16	0.32
135.	USC	16-17	0.32
136.	Lehigh	20-11	0.31
137.	Notre Dame	14-19	0.31
138.	Radford	19-11	0.31
139.	Duquesne	19-13	0.30
140.	Northwestern	13-19	0.29
141.	Brown	17-11	0.26
142.	Alabama-Birmingham	18-14	0.26
143.	Pitt	14-19	0.25
144.	North Texas	18-12	0.24
145.	St. Bonaventure	18-16	0.24
146.	Princeton	14-12	0.23
147.	George Mason	18-15	0.22
148.	Wright State	19-13	0.21
149.	Southern Illinois	17-15	0.20
150.	Bradley	19-14	0.19
151.	UCSB	20-10	0.18
152.	UNLV	17-14	0.18
153.	Nebraska-Omaha	20-11	0.17
154.	UTSA	14-14	0.16
155.	Akron	15-16	0.14
156.	NJIT	20-12	0.12
157.	Louisiana-Lafayette	17-13	0.12
158.	Gardner-Webb	20-11	0.10
159.	Florida International	15-13	0.09
160.	Texas-Rio Grande Valley	17-16	0.09
161.	Georgia	11-21	0.09
162.	Ohio	13-17	0.09
163.	Illinois State	16-16	0.08
164.	Santa Clara	15-15	0.07
165.	Texas-Arlington	16-16	0.06
166.	Northern Illinois	15-17	0.05
167.	Eastern Michigan	11-17	0.03
168.	Wake Forest	11-20	0.03
169.	Sam Houston State	18-11	0.02
170.	Ball State	15-17	0.02
171.	Northern Colorado	19-11	0.01
172.	Northern Iowa	14-18	0.00
173.	Miami (OH)	13-17	0.00
174.	St. Joseph's	14-19	-0.02
175.	Missouri State	15-16	-0.05
176.	Florida Atlantic	14-15	-0.06
177.	Indiana State	13-16	-0.06
178.	Louisiana-Monroe	17-15	-0.06
179.	Campbell	17-12	-0.08
180.	Seattle	16-14	-0.08
181.	Pepperdine	15-18	-0.09
182.	Prairie View	21-12	-0.10
183.	Hawaii	16-13	-0.10
184.	Samford	16-16	-0.10
185.	UMBC	18-13	-0.12
186.	Winthrop	15-12	-0.12
187.	Cornell	13-15	-0.13
188.	Green Bay	15-16	-0.14
189.	New Mexico	13-18	-0.18
190.	Hartford	17-15	-0.21
191.	Vanderbilt	9-23	-0.23
192.	Pacific	12-18	-0.23
193.	North Dakota State	16-15	-0.23
194.	Cal State Fullerton	14-17	-0.24
195.	Holy Cross	16-17	-0.24
196.	Fairleigh Dickinson	18-13	-0.24
197.	Cal State Bakersfield	13-15	-0.25
198.	Weber State	16-15	-0.25
199.	North Florida	14-17	-0.25
200.	Texas Southern	19-13	-0.26
201.	Delaware	15-16	-0.26
202.	William & Mary	13-17	-0.27
203.	Valparaiso	13-18	-0.28
204.	Lamar	16-13	-0.30
205.	UIC	14-16	-0.31
206.	Oakland	15-17	-0.32
207.	New Orleans	15-13	-0.32
208.	California Baptist	12-14	-0.32
209.	Saint Francis (PA)	16-14	-0.33
210.	Coastal Carolina	13-16	-0.33
211.	Iona	17-15	-0.33
212.	South Alabama	15-17	-0.36
213.	Air Force	13-18	-0.36
214.	Long Beach State	13-19	-0.36
215.	Rider	16-15	-0.37
216.	Siena	17-16	-0.37
217.	IPFW	15-15	-0.37
218.	Washington State	11-21	-0.41
219.	Eastern Washington	15-18	-0.41
220.	Norfolk State	18-13	-0.42
221.	Boise State	12-20	-0.42
222.	IUPUI	14-16	-0.42
223.	American	15-15	-0.43
224.	High Point	14-15	-0.44
225.	Richmond	13-20	-0.44
226.	Canisius	15-17	-0.45
227.	Florida Gulf Coast	12-18	-0.46
228.	Presbyterian	15-15	-0.48
229.	University of California	8-23	-0.48
230.	Colorado State	11-20	-0.48
231.	Quinnipiac	16-14	-0.48
232.	Drexel	12-19	-0.49
233.	Rice	11-19	-0.49
234.	East Carolina	10-21	-0.49
235.	North Carolina A&T	17-13	-0.49
236.	Arkansas State	11-19	-0.51
237.	UMass	11-21	-0.52
238.	Charleston Southern	13-15	-0.52
239.	Boston University	14-18	-0.53
240.	Southeastern Louisiana	15-16	-0.53
241.	Southern Utah	14-16	-0.53
242.	Portland State	13-16	-0.53
243.	Troy	10-18	-0.54
244.	La Salle	10-21	-0.56
245.	Navy	12-19	-0.57
246.	Middle Tennessee	9-21	-0.57
247.	Detroit	11-20	-0.58
248.	Montana State	14-17	-0.58
249.	St. Francis (NY)	15-15	-0.58
250.	James Madison	12-19	-0.59
251.	Evansville	9-21	-0.59
252.	Robert Morris	15-16	-0.59
253.	Eastern Kentucky	11-18	-0.60
254.	Citadel	9-18	-0.63
255.	Morehead State	11-20	-0.65
256.	Monmouth	14-21	-0.65
257.	LIU-Brooklyn	15-16	-0.66
258.	Army	12-19	-0.66
259.	Mercer	9-20	-0.67
260.	Sacred Heart	14-17	-0.68
261.	Hampton	12-16	-0.68
262.	Columbia	8-18	-0.68
263.	UMKC	10-21	-0.69
264.	Sacramento State	12-16	-0.70
265.	South Dakota	11-17	-0.70
266.	Eastern Illinois	13-18	-0.72
267.	UMass-Lowell	13-17	-0.73
268.	Fordham	11-20	-0.73
269.	Cal State Northridge	12-20	-0.75
270.	George Washington	9-24	-0.75
271.	Appalachian State	8-21	-0.77
272.	Charlotte	8-21	-0.78
273.	Dartmouth	9-19	-0.78
274.	Stephen F. Austin	10-16	-0.79
275.	Chattanooga	9-20	-0.80
276.	North Carolina-Wilmington	9-23	-0.80
277.	Loyola (MD)	11-21	-0.83
278.	Wagner	11-17	-0.83
279.	Youngstown State	10-20	-0.84
280.	UC-Davis	9-20	-0.86
281.	Central Arkansas	11-19	-0.86
282.	Texas A&M-Corpus Christi	10-18	-0.86
283.	North Carolina Central	15-15	-0.88
284.	Niagara	13-19	-0.89
285.	Lafayette	9-20	-0.90
286.	Arkansas-Little Rock	8-21	-0.90
287.	Grambling	14-16	-0.91
288.	Elon	9-21	-0.91
289.	UT-Martin	10-19	-0.91
290.	Howard	14-16	-0.92
291.	Houston Baptist	10-18	-0.93
292.	Towson	9-22	-0.94
293.	Idaho State	9-19	-0.94
294.	Oral Roberts	9-21	-0.94
295.	Cleveland State	8-21	-0.94
296.	Longwood	12-17	-0.95
297.	Marist	12-19	-0.96
298.	Albany (NY)	11-20	-0.98
299.	Virginia Military Institute	8-21	-1.00
300.	Western Michigan	7-24	-1.00
301.	Nicholls State	10-17	-1.03
302.	Northern Arizona	10-21	-1.03
303.	North Dakota	8-18	-1.07
304.	Jacksonville	10-20	-1.08
305.	Bryant	10-20	-1.08
306.	Central Connecticut	9-20	-1.10
307.	UTEP	6-21	-1.10
308.	Manhattan	11-21	-1.10
309.	Milwaukee	8-22	-1.11
310.	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	12-19	-1.11
311.	Bethune-Cookman	12-17	-1.11
312.	Wyoming	7-24	-1.14
313.	North Alabama	7-22	-1.15
314.	Southeast Missouri State	8-21	-1.18
315.	St. Peter's	10-22	-1.18
316.	UC-Riverside	7-23	-1.20
317.	Western Carolina	6-25	-1.21
318.	Southern Illinois-Edwardsville	8-21	-1.21
319.	Florida A&M	10-19	-1.21
320.	Tulane	4-27	-1.23
321.	Tennessee State	7-21	-1.24
322.	Jackson State	11-19	-1.25
323.	Alabama State	10-19	-1.26
324.	Fairfield	9-22	-1.28
325.	Binghamton	8-23	-1.28
326.	Mount St. Mary's	7-22	-1.29
327.	Western Illinois	8-21	-1.29
328.	Denver	7-22	-1.31
329.	Northwestern State	8-20	-1.32
330.	Portland	5-25	-1.38
331.	Savannah State	10-20	-1.43
332.	Tennessee Tech	6-23	-1.44
333.	McNeese State	6-21	-1.46
334.	Kennesaw State	4-26	-1.61
335.	Morgan State	8-20	-1.66
336.	Coppin State	8-25	-1.69
337.	Cal Poly	4-23	-1.70
338.	San Jose State	3-27	-1.71
339.	Stetson	5-24	-1.71
340.	Alcorn State	6-21	-1.79
341.	Maine	4-27	-1.85
342.	Southern	6-25	-1.86
343.	Idaho	3-26	-1.92
344.	Mississippi Valley State	5-26	-2.00
345.	South Carolina State	6-26	-2.00
346.	Maryland-Eastern Shore	5-25	-2.04
347.	New Hampshire	3-24	-2.04
348.	Incarnate Word	2-25	-2.08
349.	Chicago State	1-29	-2.08
350.	Alabama A&M	5-27	-2.09
351.	South Carolina Upstate	3-26	-2.16

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