Ratings

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Articles

   What is the Bayesian Resume Rating?

   Predictive and Earned Rank Systems

   The Problem with RPI, Elo, and the Colley Matrix

   NFL Win/Loss Record History

   Strength of Schedule

   March Madness Bracket Scoring

   March Madness Seed History

   The Hot Hand "Fallacy"

   Mathematical Explanation of the Bayesian Resume Rating

   The Relationship Between Bayes' Theorem and P-Values

   A Typical March Madness Bracket
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2021 NCAA Football Bayesian Resume Ratings

Published December 5th.
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Rank	Team	Record against FBS opponents	BRR
1.	Cincinnati	12-0	1.90
2.	Michigan	12-1	1.76
3.	Alabama	11-1	1.74
4.	Georgia	11-1	1.73
5.	Notre Dame	11-1	1.61
6.	Oklahoma State	10-2	1.40
7.	Baylor	10-2	1.38
8.	Ohio State	10-2	1.38
9.	Louisiana	11-1	1.28
10.	Michigan State	9-2	1.26
11.	Mississippi	9-2	1.24
12.	Texas-San Antonio	11-1	1.18
13.	San Diego State	10-2	1.15
14.	Brigham Young	9-2	1.15
15.	Oklahoma	9-2	1.14
16.	Pittsburgh	10-2	1.11
17.	Iowa	10-3	1.05
18.	Utah	9-3	1.00
19.	Houston	10-2	0.97
20.	Wake Forest	9-3	0.93
21.	Oregon	9-3	0.92
22.	Clemson	8-3	0.90
23.	Wisconsin	8-4	0.85
24.	Appalachian State	9-3	0.84
25.	Utah State	9-3	0.79
26.	Purdue	8-4	0.77
27.	North Carolina State	8-3	0.75
28.	Kentucky	8-3	0.75
29.	Air Force	8-3	0.75
30.	Arkansas	7-4	0.74
31.	Fresno State	8-3	0.70
32.	Texas A&M	7-4	0.65
33.	Army	7-3	0.62
34.	Coastal Carolina	9-2	0.61
35.	Boise State	7-5	0.57
36.	Minnesota	8-4	0.51
37.	UCLA	8-4	0.49
38.	Penn State	6-5	0.47
39.	Northern Illinois	8-4	0.45
40.	Mississippi State	6-5	0.42
41.	Nevada	7-4	0.40
42.	Tennessee	6-5	0.40
43.	Miami (FL)	6-5	0.39
44.	Iowa State	6-5	0.37
45.	Arizona State	7-4	0.35
46.	Southern Methodist	7-4	0.34
47.	Kansas State	6-5	0.32
48.	Central Michigan	7-4	0.27
49.	Central Florida	7-4	0.26
50.	Auburn	5-6	0.26
51.	Alabama-Birmingham	7-4	0.23
52.	Louisiana State	5-6	0.23
53.	Washington State	6-5	0.19
54.	Georgia State	7-5	0.18
55.	Maryland	5-6	0.16
56.	Western Michigan	6-5	0.16
57.	Tulsa	6-5	0.15
58.	Western Kentucky	7-5	0.14
59.	Oregon State	6-5	0.13
60.	East Carolina	6-5	0.11
61.	Louisville	5-6	0.06
62.	West Virginia	5-6	0.06
63.	South Carolina	5-6	0.05
64.	Liberty	6-5	0.05
65.	North Carolina	5-6	0.04
66.	Virginia	5-6	0.04
67.	Missouri	5-6	0.04
68.	Florida State	5-6	0.03
69.	Texas Tech	5-6	0.02
70.	Texas	5-7	-0.01
71.	Florida	5-6	-0.05
72.	Eastern Michigan	6-5	-0.06
73.	Kent State	6-6	-0.08
74.	Toledo	6-5	-0.09
75.	Marshall	6-5	-0.12
76.	Illinois	5-7	-0.15
77.	Virginia Tech	5-6	-0.16
78.	Texas Christian	4-7	-0.21
79.	Ball State	5-6	-0.21
80.	Memphis	5-6	-0.21
81.	Wyoming	5-6	-0.22
82.	Texas-El Paso	6-5	-0.23
83.	Boston College	5-6	-0.23
84.	Miami (OH)	5-6	-0.28
85.	Syracuse	4-7	-0.31
86.	Rutgers	4-7	-0.35
87.	North Texas	5-6	-0.37
88.	Hawaii	5-7	-0.37
89.	Navy	3-8	-0.49
90.	Southern California	4-8	-0.52
91.	Old Dominion	5-6	-0.52
92.	San Jose State	4-7	-0.53
93.	Washington	4-7	-0.54
94.	Middle Tennessee State	5-6	-0.56
95.	California	4-7	-0.56
96.	Troy	4-7	-0.58
97.	Colorado	3-8	-0.69
98.	Stanford	3-9	-0.70
99.	Texas State	4-7	-0.71
100.	Florida Atlantic	4-7	-0.73
101.	South Alabama	4-7	-0.74
102.	Colorado State	3-8	-0.75
103.	Louisiana-Monroe	3-8	-0.75
104.	Nebraska	2-9	-0.76
105.	Rice	3-8	-0.82
106.	Georgia Tech	2-9	-0.83
107.	Nevada-Las Vegas	2-9	-0.87
108.	Charlotte	4-7	-0.90
109.	Indiana	1-10	-0.94
110.	Bowling Green State	3-8	-0.95
111.	Northwestern	2-9	-0.99
112.	Ohio	3-8	-1.00
113.	Buffalo	3-8	-1.02
114.	New Mexico	2-9	-1.05
115.	Vanderbilt	2-9	-1.07
116.	Georgia Southern	2-9	-1.12
117.	Louisiana Tech	2-9	-1.18
118.	Temple	2-9	-1.18
119.	Duke	2-9	-1.21
120.	Kansas	1-10	-1.22
121.	Tulane	1-10	-1.23
122.	Arizona	1-10	-1.29
123.	South Florida	1-10	-1.34
124.	Southern Mississippi	2-9	-1.38
125.	New Mexico State	1-10	-1.49
126.	Massachusetts	1-9	-1.50
127.	Arkansas State	1-10	-1.53
128.	Akron	1-10	-1.64
129.	Connecticut	0-10	-1.79
130.	Florida International	0-11	-2.11

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