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   What is the Bayesian Resume Rating?

   Predictive and Earned Rank Systems

   The Problem with RPI, Elo, and the Colley Matrix

   NFL Win/Loss Record History

   Strength of Schedule

   March Madness Bracket Scoring

   March Madness Seed History

   The Hot Hand "Fallacy"

   Mathematical Explanation of the Bayesian Resume Rating

   The Relationship Between Bayes' Theorem and P-Values

   A Typical March Madness Bracket

2020 NCAA Football Bayesian Resume Ratings

Updated November 29th. The next update will be December 6th.
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Rank Team Record against FBS opponents BRR
1. Alabama 8-0 1.66
2. Notre Dame 9-0 1.63
3. Coastal Carolina 8-0 1.59
4. Cincinnati 7-0 1.57
5. Brigham Young 8-0 1.55
6. Marshall 6-0 1.41
7. Clemson 7-1 1.33
8. Louisiana 8-1 1.27
9. Miami (FL) 7-1 1.22
10. Florida 7-1 1.10
11. Ohio State 4-0 1.07
12. Buffalo 4-0 1.05
13. Texas A&M 6-1 1.04
14. Western Michigan 4-0 1.02
15. San Jose State 4-0 0.94
16. Colorado 3-0 0.93
17. Tulsa 5-1 0.93
18. Iowa State 7-2 0.90
19. Indiana 5-1 0.86
20. Boise State 4-1 0.85
21. Florida Atlantic 5-1 0.83
22. Northwestern 5-1 0.82
23. Washington 3-0 0.82
24. Oklahoma State 6-2 0.81
25. Georgia 6-2 0.80
26. Southern California 3-0 0.76
27. Liberty 7-1 0.73
28. Appalachian State 6-2 0.72
29. Nevada 5-1 0.63
30. North Carolina State 7-3 0.61
31. Oklahoma 5-2 0.58
32. Memphis 5-2 0.56
33. Central Florida 6-3 0.52
34. Oregon 3-1 0.51
35. Central Michigan 3-1 0.49
36. North Carolina 6-3 0.47
37. Southern Methodist 6-3 0.46
38. Miami (OH) 2-1 0.41
39. Army 4-2 0.40
40. Ball State 3-1 0.39
41. Texas 5-3 0.37
42. Kent State 3-1 0.36
43. Fresno State 3-1 0.31
44. Wisconsin 2-1 0.31
45. Auburn 5-3 0.31
46. Iowa 4-2 0.29
47. Boston College 6-4 0.25
48. Texas-San Antonio 6-4 0.21
49. Houston 3-3 0.19
50. Alabama-Birmingham 3-3 0.19
51. Georgia State 5-4 0.14
52. Wake Forest 3-3 0.13
53. Ohio 2-1 0.13
54. Louisiana Tech 3-3 0.11
55. Washington State 1-1 0.10
56. San Diego State 3-3 0.10
57. Missouri 4-3 0.09
58. Georgia Southern 5-4 0.08
59. Hawaii 3-3 0.08
60. Oregon State 2-2 0.08
61. Maryland 2-2 0.07
62. Air Force 2-2 0.06
63. West Virginia 4-3 0.02
64. Virginia 3-4 0.02
65. Virginia Tech 4-5 0.01
66. North Alabama 0-0 0.00
67. Pittsburgh 4-5 0.00
68. UCLA 2-2 -0.04
69. Wyoming 2-2 -0.05
70. Tulane 5-5 -0.07
71. Toledo 2-2 -0.08
72. Texas Christian 4-4 -0.09
73. Mississippi 4-4 -0.09
74. Michigan State 2-3 -0.10
75. Colorado State 1-2 -0.15
76. Purdue 2-3 -0.24
77. Arkansas 3-5 -0.25
78. Stanford 1-2 -0.26
79. Kansas State 4-5 -0.26
80. Navy 3-5 -0.26
81. Arizona State 0-1 -0.30
82. Minnesota 2-3 -0.32
83. Charlotte 2-3 -0.38
84. Rutgers 2-4 -0.38
85. Illinois 2-3 -0.39
86. Louisiana State 3-4 -0.39
87. Georgia Tech 3-5 -0.42
88. South Alabama 4-6 -0.46
89. East Carolina 3-6 -0.46
90. Troy 3-5 -0.46
91. Kentucky 3-6 -0.47
92. Michigan 2-4 -0.48
93. Western Kentucky 3-6 -0.50
94. Utah 0-2 -0.51
95. Tennessee 2-5 -0.51
96. Texas Tech 2-6 -0.60
97. Louisville 3-7 -0.66
98. Nebraska 1-4 -0.67
99. Utah State 1-4 -0.70
100. Middle Tennessee State 3-6 -0.70
101. North Texas 2-4 -0.70
102. Baylor 2-5 -0.70
103. Rice 1-2 -0.72
104. Arkansas State 2-7 -0.73
105. Mississippi State 2-6 -0.75
106. Arizona 0-3 -0.78
107. Florida State 1-6 -0.78
108. Penn State 1-5 -0.80
109. South Carolina 2-7 -0.81
110. Duke 2-7 -0.82
111. Northern Illinois 0-4 -0.84
112. Massachusetts 0-4 -0.84
113. Texas-El Paso 1-4 -0.91
114. Akron 0-4 -0.94
115. California 0-3 -0.99
116. Bowling Green State 0-4 -0.99
117. Eastern Michigan 0-4 -1.01
118. Texas State 2-10 -1.07
119. Nevada-Las Vegas 0-5 -1.11
120. Temple 1-6 -1.12
121. Florida International 0-4 -1.15
122. New Mexico 0-5 -1.21
123. Syracuse 1-9 -1.24
124. Southern Mississippi 1-7 -1.24
125. South Florida 0-8 -1.44
126. Kansas 0-8 -1.46
127. Vanderbilt 0-8 -1.67
128. Louisiana-Monroe 0-9 -1.69